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Red94
52528.8
470317.4
249917.9
Blue27
731111.6
249114.3
514310.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484030607080909427

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
28.83.6
24.327.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End9.9
red by 14.5
2491
#49
14.31.2
16.014.8
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End2.1
Second
2499
#28
17.93.6
11.114.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.7
End5.5
red by 6.3
7311
#48
11.61.2
11.310.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End0.8
Third
17.43.6
10.614.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
red by 6.6
5143
#43
10.81.2
10.59.3
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
51%HAB Docking oddsEarned18%HAB Docking oddsMissed