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Red59
657416.2
298719.9
419818.2
Blue56
753013.9
460719.1
363016.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534530405060705956

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#20
19.90.0
19.019.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.5
End5.7
red by 0.8
4607
#29
19.11.5
15.216.8
Auto2.9
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
4198
#12
18.20.0
15.115.1
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End4.1
red by 1.6
3630
#30
16.61.5
16.017.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.5
End1.8
Third
6574
#22
16.20.0
16.016.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End3.7
red by 2.3
7530
#57
13.91.5
11.112.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsMissed12%HAB Docking oddsMissed