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Red34
313018.3
614713.1
375411.0
Blue46
523214.3
329711.1
710317.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384220253035455055603446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#50
18.30.3
14.514.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
red by 1.0
7103
#15
17.30.0
15.015.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Second
6147
#41
13.10.3
13.713.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End2.6
blue by 1.3
5232
#45
14.30.0
14.514.6
Auto5.6
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
3754
#42
11.00.3
8.17.8
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
blue by 0.1
3297
#47
11.10.0
10.410.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed