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Red58
321219.2
572011.9
418219.8
Blue70
250915.7
310024.6
459317.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450304060705870

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4182
#17
19.80.4
19.720.1
Auto5.2
Teleop10.0
End4.6
blue by 4.8
24.62.2
19.922.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.6
End7.0
Second
3212
#32
19.20.4
19.219.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 1.3
4593
#18
17.82.2
15.217.4
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Third
5720
#46
11.90.4
12.512.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.0
End4.1
blue by 3.8
2509
#25
15.72.2
12.214.4
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsEarned