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Red38
321219.2
250117.2
701911.1
Blue48
313018.3
470317.4
60449.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553902060803848

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3212
#32
19.21.4
20.619.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 0.9
3130
#50
18.31.0
14.815.8
Auto4.3
Teleop9.4
End4.6
Second
2501
#23
17.21.4
19.418.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 0.2
17.41.0
15.116.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.4
End4.6
Third
7019
#27
11.11.4
12.511.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.1
End2.8
red by 1.8
6044
#54
9.41.1
7.48.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed