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Red48
469315.8
702819.9
459317.8
Blue42
375411.0
251213.3
753013.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801004842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7028
#11
19.90.7
20.319.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 6.0
7530
#57
13.90.5
13.413.9
Auto3.2
Teleop7.4
End3.3
Second
4593
#18
17.80.7
18.217.5
Auto3.3
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 4.5
2512
#37
13.30.5
12.813.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
4693
#33
15.80.7
16.515.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End3.4
red by 4.7
3754
#42
11.00.5
10.511.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
42%HAB Docking oddsMissed6%HAB Docking oddsMissed