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Red49
675812.3
326719.6
67075.9
Blue65
501913.8
52528.8
250915.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355902040801004965

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3267
#34
19.61.5
18.119.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.2
End5.1
blue by 9.2
525
#2
28.80.9
28.429.2
Auto5.4
Teleop13.4
End9.9
Second
6758
#55
12.31.5
10.812.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.4
End4.1
blue by 3.4
2509
#25
15.70.9
14.915.7
Auto3.8
Teleop8.7
End3.2
Third
6707
#59
5.91.8
4.15.9
Auto4.3
Teleop-0.2
End1.8
blue by 7.8
5019
#52
13.80.9
12.913.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned70%HAB Docking oddsEarned