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Red43
529014.3
226415.5
420719.2
Blue59
704118.9
604516.4
313412.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4038203050604359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#26
19.20.6
14.615.1
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.0
red by 0.4
7041
#27
18.92.6
13.516.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End5.5
Second
2264
#10
15.50.6
12.813.4
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End5.9
blue by 0.8
6045
#25
16.42.6
11.013.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.9
Third
5290
#18
14.30.6
10.511.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End4.7
red by 1.8
3134
#50
12.52.6
11.213.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned36%HAB Docking oddsEarned