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Red28
45119.6
327614.2
786415.3
Blue39
375025.4
9318.1
42178.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37450102030506070802839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7864
#16
15.30.8
8.67.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
blue by 10.1
25.40.4
17.617.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End7.6
Second
3276
#23
14.20.8
14.814.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End4.2
blue by 3.9
93
#8
18.10.4
14.914.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Third
4511
#57
9.60.8
12.011.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.6
red by 1.5
4217
#60
8.10.4
9.69.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed