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Red49
529914.1
546410.8
563818.7
Blue61
467411.7
400921.8
786415.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44472030405060704961

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
#22
18.70.8
18.919.7
Auto5.5
Teleop8.9
End4.4
blue by 3.1
21.80.9
22.323.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End5.3
Second
5299
#41
14.10.8
13.013.8
Auto4.7
Teleop4.3
End5.0
blue by 1.2
7864
#16
15.30.9
12.413.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
Third
5464
#42
10.80.8
9.510.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.0
blue by 0.9
4674
#39
11.70.9
9.410.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned40%HAB Docking oddsMissed