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Red59
453925.7
252614.6
416610.6
Blue72
704118.9
9318.1
250315.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47532030405060705972

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.2
22.722.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
red by 6.8
7041
#27
18.91.1
18.719.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End5.5
Second
2526
#33
14.60.2
13.814.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 3.5
93
#8
18.11.1
18.619.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End3.5
Third
4166
#56
10.60.2
8.08.2
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 4.9
15.61.1
12.613.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed65%HAB Docking oddsEarned