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Red67
785817.5
599317.7
313022.1
Blue74
388319.2
217721.9
331323.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4660203040507080906774

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#18
22.11.8
16.718.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 1.1
23.21.2
20.021.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Second
5993
#45
17.72.6
14.517.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End3.0
blue by 4.2
2177
#33
21.91.2
19.921.0
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
Third
7858
#37
17.52.6
12.114.7
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 1.7
3883
#21
19.21.4
16.818.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsEarned