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Red33
78757.8
422511.7
527817.9
Blue49
245014.6
582616.1
260615.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3445102030405060703349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5278
#11
17.90.1
12.012.0
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
red by 1.8
5826
#44
16.10.7
15.315.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Second
4225
#50
11.70.1
11.211.3
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End2.6
blue by 3.7
2606
#26
15.40.7
14.615.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
7875
#55
7.80.1
9.39.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 6.8
2450
#34
14.60.5
12.913.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed