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Red60
361011.5
181629.2
417418.8
Blue71
253814.7
648717.5
477819.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54380102030506070806071

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.4
25.425.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End10.3
red by 9.9
4778
#31
19.33.9
13.417.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Second
4174
#19
18.80.6
14.415.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.9
red by 1.3
6487
#13
17.53.9
8.212.1
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End5.0
Third
3610
#42
11.50.6
11.312.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 3.2
2538
#58
14.72.4
13.916.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
70%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsEarned