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Red75
327713.7
222723.7
254930.0
Blue62
308215.6
392622.4
466323.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585020304070807562

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.5
24.826.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.2
End7.1
red by 6.2
23.81.6
15.717.3
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
Second
2227
#16
23.71.3
19.520.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End3.8
red by 1.3
22.41.6
16.317.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
Third
3277
#39
13.71.3
10.511.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End3.7
blue by 1.9
3082
#46
15.61.2
15.817.0
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned