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Red46
727315.3
212911.1
674915.4
Blue43
691217.7
427715.6
223911.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413802060804643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6749
#14
15.40.2
11.411.2
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.1
blue by 2.3
6912
#25
17.70.5
12.713.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End4.8
Second
7273
#27
15.30.2
16.616.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End4.2
blue by 0.4
4277
#51
15.60.5
11.812.3
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End2.7
Third
2129
#35
11.10.2
10.610.4
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 0.8
2239
#54
11.90.3
11.211.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed