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Red53
527817.9
466323.8
247214.6
Blue41
384819.9
220710.6
312218.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845102030406070805341

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.8
18.819.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
red by 3.8
3848
#22
19.90.2
16.816.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Second
5278
#11
17.90.8
13.314.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
blue by 0.6
18.50.2
14.714.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Third
2472
#32
14.60.8
13.314.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.3
red by 4.0
2207
#57
10.60.2
11.611.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed