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Red70
25257.8
288326.5
217721.9
Blue74
214318.1
304226.6
727315.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6057405070807074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.9
24.325.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End7.4
blue by 0.1
26.61.3
23.624.9
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End6.8
Second
2177
#33
21.90.9
21.822.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.5
End5.3
red by 3.8
2143
#20
18.12.2
14.116.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
2525
#60
7.81.4
11.012.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End1.6
blue by 7.5
7273
#27
15.32.2
16.718.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned