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Red54
785817.5
304226.6
361011.5
Blue69
463213.9
222723.7
527817.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5753404550556065705469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.0
25.825.8
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End6.8
red by 2.9
2227
#16
23.70.3
22.522.8
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Second
7858
#37
17.50.0
15.916.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 0.4
5278
#11
17.90.4
14.114.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
Third
3610
#42
11.50.0
12.112.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 2.4
4632
#30
13.90.4
13.513.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
44%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed