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Red33
78496.6
527512.0
253814.7
Blue46
265414.1
727315.3
599317.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385101020306070803346

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2538
#58
14.70.6
16.315.7
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 3.0
5993
#45
17.70.2
18.318.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Second
5275
#53
12.00.9
12.011.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End4.5
blue by 3.2
7273
#27
15.30.2
17.717.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End4.2
Third
7849
#56
6.60.9
7.26.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End2.6
blue by 7.5
2654
#41
14.10.2
12.111.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed