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Red57
214318.1
53409.8
331323.2
Blue49
421516.8
422511.7
222723.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464302060805749

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.3
19.319.6
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
blue by 0.5
2227
#16
23.70.6
17.718.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Second
2143
#20
18.10.4
13.413.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 1.3
4215
#24
16.80.9
12.713.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Third
5340
#43
9.80.4
10.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End2.6
blue by 1.9
4225
#50
11.70.9
10.811.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned