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Red36
680322.0
253814.7
212911.1
Blue49
466323.8
388319.2
312218.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801003649

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#29
22.01.6
21.720.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.9
End6.7
blue by 1.8
23.80.9
13.013.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
Second
2538
#58
14.71.9
15.914.0
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 4.5
3883
#21
19.20.8
16.417.2
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End2.9
Third
2129
#35
11.12.6
11.99.3
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End3.0
blue by 7.4
18.50.9
11.712.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
63%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed