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Red40
78496.6
477819.3
582616.1
Blue54
212911.1
214318.1
384819.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45500204060804054

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4778
#31
19.30.3
19.619.3
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End4.2
blue by 0.6
3848
#22
19.90.7
19.319.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Second
5826
#44
16.10.3
16.416.1
Auto3.8
Teleop9.3
End3.0
blue by 2.0
2143
#20
18.10.7
17.518.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Third
7849
#56
6.60.3
6.96.6
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End2.6
blue by 4.5
2129
#35
11.10.7
10.311.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed