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Red49
247214.6
310027.1
223911.9
Blue94
222723.7
313022.1
181629.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587640801001204994

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#10
27.10.4
27.427.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End8.2
blue by 2.1
29.20.7
28.729.3
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End10.3
Second
2472
#32
14.60.6
15.214.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.3
blue by 9.0
2227
#16
23.70.7
22.323.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.4
End3.8
Third
2239
#54
11.90.4
12.311.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.3
End1.7
blue by 10.2
3130
#18
22.10.7
20.721.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned