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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50330204060804741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#41
18.90.5
18.818.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
red by 5.2
3299
#50
13.61.1
11.312.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Second
2530
#27
18.50.5
16.115.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End4.1
red by 5.1
4229
#37
13.40.7
10.611.3
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
4549
#20
13.80.5
12.411.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
red by 2.5
3407
#46
11.21.1
9.610.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
22%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed