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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50503540455560654240

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#30
20.90.8
16.615.9
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
blue by 2.9
4607
#47
23.70.5
18.918.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End3.0
Second
4207
#10
19.20.8
18.417.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End4.0
red by 0.5
3244
#12
18.60.7
14.814.1
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End1.7
Third
3751
#26
15.11.0
13.212.2
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
red by 7.5
3023
#63
7.60.7
12.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed