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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425202060804567

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#31
17.40.4
12.412.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
blue by 7.1
24.50.7
21.622.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End7.1
Second
2501
#62
15.50.4
15.515.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 5.2
2500
#15
20.80.6
18.519.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End4.7
Third
2855
#55
13.80.5
12.212.8
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.1
blue by 1.1
5637
#28
15.00.9
9.610.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned