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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394202060803959

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#35
15.60.1
14.714.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
blue by 8.1
4607
#47
23.71.0
18.419.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End3.0
Second
2470
#53
13.50.1
12.011.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.8
blue by 3.6
2498
#23
17.11.5
9.210.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.5
Third
2480
#57
12.50.1
10.710.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 1.3
4549
#20
13.80.9
11.912.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed14%HAB Docking oddsMissed