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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4244102030506070803551

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#41
18.90.3
18.418.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
red by 1.0
3026
#49
17.80.4
16.115.7
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Second
3202
#44
12.90.5
9.28.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.4
blue by 1.7
2518
#29
14.60.7
13.212.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Third
3023
#63
7.60.5
11.911.4
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End2.0
blue by 6.8
5464
#11
14.40.5
11.911.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed