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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574720304070806940

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.3
18.519.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End6.3
red by 2.0
2823
#40
20.40.8
21.120.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Second
2509
#16
20.91.1
16.717.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End5.8
red by 6.3
3298
#36
14.60.8
11.510.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Third
2500
#15
20.81.0
19.120.1
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End4.7
red by 12.2
2513
#59
8.61.2
12.110.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
40%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed