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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404402060805553

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3058
#32
17.20.9
16.617.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 3.6
2509
#16
20.90.8
18.519.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Second
2515
#34
12.00.9
11.712.7
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 4.7
2232
#14
16.71.3
12.714.0
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.9
Third
2879
#54
7.70.9
9.410.3
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 6.1
5996
#38
13.81.3
10.411.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed48%HAB Docking oddsEarned