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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314002060801741

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3407
#46
11.21.7
9.27.4
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
blue by 3.7
5637
#28
15.00.4
13.013.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Second
2513
#59
8.61.7
11.19.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End2.6
blue by 4.9
2470
#53
13.50.2
12.412.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
2825
#58
6.21.7
9.37.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 6.6
3055
#51
12.80.4
12.212.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed