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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5032010204060705242

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4536
#41
18.90.3
18.919.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
red by 4.2
3298
#36
14.60.8
11.111.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Second
3038
#35
15.60.5
15.916.5
Auto2.9
Teleop11.8
End1.0
red by 1.8
2855
#55
13.81.3
11.612.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Third
4229
#37
13.40.3
12.512.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.6
red by 3.1
2846
#42
10.30.8
8.18.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed5%HAB Docking oddsMissed