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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4945304060706455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2509
#16
20.91.2
19.320.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End5.8
red by 3.5
7068
#31
17.40.8
14.915.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Second
5434
#24
17.11.2
15.516.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End3.2
red by 1.0
5541
#43
16.11.4
15.917.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.8
Third
5464
#11
14.41.2
11.512.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0
red by 0.8
3299
#50
13.61.4
12.013.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
47%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed