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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4939203060706647

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.1
25.726.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End6.9
red by 10.6
5637
#28
15.01.1
13.414.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End4.2
Second
7850
#19
15.31.8
10.412.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.8
red by 1.9
4229
#37
13.40.6
12.813.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
3202
#44
12.91.8
10.412.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.4
red by 0.4
2480
#57
12.51.1
11.212.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed