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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45500204060803151

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3751
#26
15.11.3
14.613.3
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 5.4
2823
#40
20.40.3
20.320.6
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Second
3871
#61
14.71.3
15.113.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 0.8
2501
#62
15.50.3
14.214.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
2855
#55
13.81.3
12.911.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.1
red by 1.1
3055
#51
12.80.4
12.613.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed