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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39400102030506070803643

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2181
#45
17.21.5
17.616.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End4.2
red by 0.2
2498
#23
17.10.6
15.616.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.1
End4.5
Second
2879
#54
7.71.5
10.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End1.4
blue by 5.7
4229
#37
13.40.4
13.413.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.8
End2.6
Third
3023
#63
7.61.5
8.67.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.2
End2.0
blue by 1.4
4664
#60
9.00.6
8.49.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
20%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsMissed