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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020253035455055604839

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3244
#12
18.61.0
18.219.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End1.7
blue by 2.3
2509
#16
20.90.6
20.519.9
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End5.8
Second
6709
#56
12.90.6
11.812.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End3.1
red by 2.6
2846
#42
10.30.6
10.39.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End0.6
Third
3407
#46
11.20.9
8.99.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 5.0
2825
#58
6.20.9
6.96.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed