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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349304060704746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#10
19.20.2
17.917.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 1.3
2823
#40
20.40.0
20.620.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Second
18.60.2
17.817.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.5
red by 5.0
3299
#50
13.60.0
13.313.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Third
5637
#28
15.00.3
14.514.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End4.2
red by 2.5
2480
#57
12.50.0
12.212.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
46%HAB Docking oddsEarned29%HAB Docking oddsMissed