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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53462030405060704766

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
27.727.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End8.3
red by 8.1
3630
#30
20.91.3
17.719.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
3134
#22
13.30.4
13.513.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End5.8
blue by 3.4
2232
#14
16.72.0
14.216.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.9
Third
4664
#60
9.00.7
9.08.4
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 4.9
2855
#55
13.82.0
11.613.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed