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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4742203060706446

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#13
22.11.3
20.021.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End8.0
red by 2.7
3007
#17
19.50.7
16.917.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End8.0
Second
7850
#19
15.32.0
12.214.2
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.8
blue by 0.4
7038
#18
15.70.6
15.616.3
Auto2.6
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
5464
#11
14.41.3
12.714.0
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0
red by 5.8
2513
#59
8.60.6
7.37.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned