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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4557203040507080904568

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3058
#32
17.20.3
17.017.2
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.9
blue by 4.9
4198
#13
22.10.8
21.222.0
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End8.0
Second
3134
#22
13.30.2
13.113.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End5.8
blue by 5.6
4536
#41
18.90.8
18.719.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
Third
2480
#57
12.50.3
12.212.5
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 2.6
3751
#26
15.11.1
13.814.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
36%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned