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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4855204060808467

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4207
#10
19.20.6
17.718.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End4.0
blue by 3.2
22.40.8
21.522.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End6.3
Second
2232
#14
16.70.8
16.317.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End4.9
blue by 0.7
7068
#31
17.40.8
16.617.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End3.7
Third
2532
#21
12.60.9
11.712.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End3.3
blue by 2.8
7850
#19
15.31.1
14.215.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking oddsMissed44%HAB Docking oddsEarned