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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48540204060806353

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2530
#27
18.51.2
17.318.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End4.1
blue by 5.2
4607
#47
23.70.1
22.422.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End3.0
Second
5434
#24
17.11.2
16.217.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End3.2
blue by 0.2
2181
#45
17.20.2
16.116.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Third
3745
#48
12.91.7
12.113.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Level
3202
#44
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsMissed23%HAB Docking oddsMissed