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Red54
388312.5
181621.9
527512.4
Blue37
223912.3
284610.2
253210.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433301020506070805437

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
21.90.9
18.319.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End5.2
red by 9.6
12.30.4
11.612.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Second
3883
#26
12.50.9
10.211.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End1.1
red by 1.6
2532
#23
10.90.4
11.712.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
5275
#13
12.40.9
12.012.9
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End5.5
red by 2.1
2846
#19
10.20.4
7.88.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsMissed4%HAB Docking oddsMissed