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Red57
250813.8
485915.5
460727.4
Blue53
999210.8
222018.6
250214.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5642020805753

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.2
26.626.8
Auto3.5
Teleop20.4
End3.4
red by 8.8
2220
#21
18.60.9
15.015.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
Second
15.50.2
13.613.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End6.3
red by 1.3
2502
#22
14.20.9
14.515.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.5
End4.6
Third
2508
#30
13.80.2
13.113.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End5.8
red by 3.0
9992
#24
10.80.9
9.910.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
9%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking oddsEarned48%HAB Docking oddsEarned