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Red39
422911.7
318417.6
31007.9
Blue47
250015.0
706818.0
527512.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374602060803947

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3184
#11
17.60.2
15.916.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End4.7
blue by 0.4
18.00.2
17.317.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.7
End3.8
Second
4229
#17
11.70.2
12.412.7
Auto2.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 3.3
2500
#15
15.00.2
13.914.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
3100
#31
7.90.2
7.07.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End2.9
blue by 4.5
5275
#13
12.40.2
12.913.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed13%HAB Docking oddsEarned