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Red40
999210.8
388312.5
223912.3
Blue38
324419.9
451110.5
284610.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363802060801004038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#26
12.50.2
11.111.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End1.1
blue by 7.4
3244
#14
19.90.1
18.418.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Second
12.30.2
12.012.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
red by 1.8
4511
#32
10.50.1
9.39.5
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
Third
9992
#24
10.80.2
10.811.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End3.7
red by 0.5
2846
#19
10.20.1
8.28.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed8%HAB Docking oddsMissed