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Red68
181621.9
222018.6
324419.9
Blue50
298721.8
31007.9
212912.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624220801006850

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
21.90.6
21.422.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End5.2
red by 0.1
2987
#12
21.80.7
21.221.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End6.6
Second
3244
#14
19.90.6
19.119.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End2.2
red by 7.7
2129
#28
12.30.7
11.612.3
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End3.7
Third
2220
#21
18.60.6
17.918.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
red by 10.7
3100
#31
7.90.7
7.27.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
60%HAB Docking oddsMissed34%HAB Docking oddsEarned