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Red36
217714.5
527512.4
485915.5
Blue66
453617.2
249111.5
419817.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464640505560653666

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.5
15.915.4
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End6.3
blue by 1.7
17.20.9
16.517.4
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End4.2
Second
2177
#20
14.50.5
15.014.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 2.5
17.00.9
16.317.2
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End7.4
Third
5275
#13
12.40.5
12.912.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End5.5
red by 0.9
2491
#29
11.50.9
10.411.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned50%HAB Docking oddsEarned